Which African Countries Are Most Vulnerable to the Coronavirus?

Nairobi — ‘We are constantly expecting something to happen.’

As the coronavirus continues to spread beyond mainland China, the medical journal The Lancet has released a study ranking the vulnerability of African countries to the highly contagious respiratory disease.

The study models the risk of Covid-19 exposure based on air travel from areas in China with active transmissions, and the capacity of individual African countries to manage an outbreak.

Air travel data alone suggests – in order of decreasing likelihood – that Egypt, Algeria, South Africa, Nigeria, and Ethiopia have the highest “importation risk”, with Cairo International Airport receiving the most travellers from areas with active transmission in China – excluding Hubei province, the epicentre of the disease, from where flights are banned.

That risk was underlined when Egypt became the first African country to register a confirmed case of coronavirus on 14 February.

Sudan, Angola, Tanzania, Ghana, and Kenya were identified as having a moderate importation risk, but with varying levels of health system preparedness to handle an outbreak.

Many of these countries are among the 13 African nations with a high volume of travel to and from China, which the World Health Organisation (WHO) has prioritised to receive support for added measures like improved airport screening.

The vast majority of the more than 79,000 confirmed coronavirus cases to date still remain in China’s Hubei province, but more than 2,000 cases have now been reported in over 30 additional countries. Of growing concern is the “secondary spread”, the number of cases with no clear epidemiological link to China.

Although all flights from Hubei were suspended on 23 January, there have still been direct connections between African countries and other major hubs in China, like Beijing, where a recent cluster of cases has emerged.

132 thoughts on “Which African Countries Are Most Vulnerable to the Coronavirus?

  1. 335848 341049I cannot thank you fully for the blogposts on your internet page. I know you placed lots of time and effort into all of them and hope you know how considerably I appreciate it. I hope I will do precisely the same for yet another individual at some point. Palm Beach Condos 749679

  2. 694229 307252Hello! I basically would wish to offer a huge thumbs up for that great information youve here during this post. I is going to be returning to your web site to get much more soon. 626740

  3. 728332 168645Your writing is fine and gives food for thought. I hope that Ill have a lot more time to read your articles . Regards. I wish you that you frequently publish new texts and invite you to greet me 92555

  4. 183712 653944Hi there! I merely want to give a huge thumbs up for the good data you can have correct here on this post. I will likely be coming again to your weblog for more soon. 699558

  5. Reach understand what exactly is necessary prior to needs to compose Person trafficking subjects investigate newspapers, to own and also the way you can structure them. This informative article enables a more melancholy research newspaper to be written by college students. The perform and perform and also It’s going to summarize certain requirementsn’ts. https://forwardonclimate.org/essay-world/top-services-for-writing-your-school-application-essay/

  6. Spot on with this write-up, I seriously believe this site needs much more attention. I’ll probably
    be back again to see more, thanks for the advice!

  7. With havin so much written content do you ever run into any
    issues of plagorism or copyright violation? My blog has a lot of unique
    content I’ve either authored myself or outsourced but it seems a lot of it is popping it up all over
    the internet without my permission. Do you know any ways to help reduce content from being stolen? I’d really
    appreciate it.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *